- Kwarteng leaves IMF meeting early
- Pressure mounts for a U-turn over tax policy
- Pound, bond prices recovering
- PM Truss now faces political fight
British Prime Minister Liz Truss has fired her finance minister Kwasi Kwarteng, the BBC reported on Friday, shortly before she is expected to scrap parts of his economic package in a bid to survive the market and political turmoil gripping the country.
Kwasi Kwarteng sacked
Downing Street confirmed that Truss, in power for only 37 days, would hold a press conference later on Friday after Kwarteng was forced to rush back to London from IMF meetings in Washington to address the chaos.
The BBC said Kwarteng had been sacked. Downing Street declined to comment.
If that is confirmed, Kwarteng would become Britain’s shortest-serving chancellor since 1970, and his successor would be the country’s fourth finance minister in as many months.
British government bonds rallied further on Friday, adding to their partial recovery since Truss’s government started looking for ways to balance the books after her unfunded tax cuts crushed UK asset values and drew international censure.
Kwarteng had announced a new fiscal policy on Sept. 23, delivering Truss’s vision for vast tax cuts and deregulation to try to shock the economy out of years of stagnant growth.
The duo have since been under mounting pressure to reverse course, as polls showed support for their Conservative Party had collapsed, prompting colleagues to openly discuss whether they should be replaced.
Having triggered a market rout, Truss now runs the risk of bringing the government down if she cannot find a package of public spending cuts and tax rises that can appease investors and get through any parliamentary vote in the House of Commons.
Her search for savings will be made harder by the fact the government has been cutting departmental budgets for years.
At the same time the Conservative Party’s discipline has all but broken down, fractured by infighting as it struggled first to agree a way to leave the European Union and then how to navigate the COVID-19 pandemic and grow the economy.
“If you can’t get your budget through parliament you can’t govern,” Chris Bryant, a senior lawmaker from the opposition Labour Party, said on Twitter. “This isn’t about u-turns, it’s about proper governance.”
Downing Street has so far declined to comment but Kwarteng had not been expected to appear at Truss’s news conference later on Friday, fuelling speculation about his future.
During his time in the United States Kwarteng had been told by the head of the International Monetary Fund of the importance of “policy coherence”, underlining how far Britain’s reputation for sound economic management and institutional stability had fallen.
Shortly before 11 a.m. (10:00 GMT) Britain’s television news channels switched to carry live footage of a British Airways plane landing at Heathrow, carrying Kwarteng.
In Westminster, Truss was trying to find agreement with her cabinet ministers on a way to preserve her push for growth while also reassuring the markets and working out which of the measures could be supported by her lawmakers in parliament.
Earlier a minister in the trade department, Greg Hands, had said people wanting details on the budget would have to wait until Oct. 31 when Kwarteng was due to set out his full plan alongside independent forecasts that will show the cost of the tax cuts to the public finances and whether they will boost economic growth.
Critics of the government had said that wait was unacceptable.
Rupert Harrison, a portfolio manager at Blackrock and once an adviser to former British finance minister George Osborne, said markets have now almost fully priced in a U-turn.
“(That) means if the U-turn doesn’t come markets will react badly,” he said on Twitter.
A Conservative Party lawmaker, who asked not to be named, said Truss’s economic policy had caused so much damage that investors may demand even deeper cuts to public spending as the price for their support.
“Everything’s possible at the moment,” said the lawmaker, who backed Sunak in the leadership race. “Problem is the markets have lost trust in the Conservative Party – and who can blame them?”
Another lawmaker told Reuters earlier this week that Truss needed to appreciate that there was not a huge amount of enthusiasm for her at the moment.
According to a source close to the prime minister, Truss is now in “listening mode” and inviting lawmakers to speak to her team about their concerns to gauge which parts of the programme they would support in parliament.
Credit Suisse economist Sonali Punhani said markets needed to see a credible fiscal plan, with the government needing to find around 60 billion pounds through tax cut U-turns and further spending cuts.
“It would be challenging to deliver the scale of these cuts, but for them to be credible, these need to be delivered sooner rather than in the latter part of the forecast,” Punhani said.
One policy that is expected to be reversed is their plan to hold corporation tax rates at 19%. That had formed a key part of their package after Sunak proposed increasing it to 25% when he was finance minister under Truss’s predecessor Boris Johnson.
That could save 18.7 billion pounds by 2026/27.
The latest bout of political drama to grip Britain comes as the Bank of England prepares to end its intervention in the gilt market.
($1 = 0.8869 pounds)
Writing by Kate Holton; additional reporting by Sarah Young, David Milliken and Muvija M; Editing by Michael Holden, Catherine Evans and Hugh Lawson