The 2022 World Cup is just five months away.
France will go into the tournament as the defending champions.
Les Bleus defeated Croatia 4-2 in the final four years ago. They will be one of the favourites to defend their title in Qatar.
But there are multiple other sides that will fancy their chances of emerging victorious.
Brazil are stacked with talent and will be tough to beat.
Argentina won Copa America in 2021 and recently dismantled Italy in the Finalissima. Lionel Messi will be 35 when the tournament kicks off and will be inspired to perform in what will almost certainly be his last World Cup.
Spain, Germany, England, Netherlands, Belgium and Portugal also have what it takes to triumph.
But who are the favourites? The Analyst have used an AI model to calculate every team’s chances of winning the 2022 World Cup.
They have simulated the outcome of the tournament 1000 times and ranked every team from least likely to most likely winners.
But who are the favourites? The Analyst have used an AI model to calculate every team’s chances of winning the 2022 World Cup.
They have simulated the outcome of the tournament 1000 times and ranked every team from least likely to most likely winners.
View their findings below…
| # | Team | Chance of winning Qatar 2022 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 17.93% |
| 2 | Brazil | 15.73% |
| 3 | Spain | 11.53% |
| 4 | England | 8.03% |
| 5 | Belgium | 7.90% |
| 6 | Netherlands | 7.70% |
| 7 | Germany | 7.21% |
| 8 | Argentina | 6.45% |
| 9 | Portugal | 5.11% |
| 10 | Croatia | 2.31% |
| 11 | Denmark | 2.03% |
| 12 | Uruguay | 1.48% |
| 13 | Mexico | 1.37% |
| 14 | Switzerland | 1.00% |
| 15 | Poland | 0.82% |
| 16 | Iran | 0.60% |
| 17 | Japan | 0.48% |
| 18 | United States | 0.46% |
| 19 | Wales | 0.41% |
| 20 | Qatar | 0.35% |
| 20 | Korea Republic | 0.35% |
| 21 | Serbia | 0.24% |
| 22 | Senegal | 0.19% |
| 23 | Ecuador | 0.17% |
| 24 | Australia | 0.02% |
| 24 | Ghana | 0.02% |
| 26 | Canada | 0.01% |
| 26 | Morocco | 0.01% |
| 26 | Tunisia | 0.01% |
| 29 | Cameroon | 0% |
| 29 | Saudi Arabia | 0% |
| 29 | Costa Rica | 0% |
According to the study, France have a 17.93% chance of retaining their crown and are the most likely winners of the tournament.
They will need to perform much better than they did at Euro 2020, though, where they crashed out at the last-16 stage.
Brazil are second favourites, with Spain third.
England endured a nightmare June where they failed to win any of their four Nations League matches, but they are still the fourth favourites to win the tournament.
They have been given an 8.03% chance of winning their first major trophy in 56 years.
Despite Argentina being 33 games unbeaten and having won two pieces of silverware in the last year, they are only eighth favourites.
While Cristiano Ronaldo’s Portugal side are ninth favourites.
Senegal are Africa’s most likely team to win the World Cup but have been given just a 0.19% chance of winning the title, while three sides have been given no hope whatsoever to lift the World Cup: Cameroon, Costa Rica and Saudi Arabia.
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